itsg@hotmail.com

"For an airborne hurrah guy pretty good analysis! Your 'past the bs assessment' was excellent and easily cut through the smoke and mirrors our supposed tough on defense administration puts out.

However, your analysis is flawed.

Its even worse than you assess!

That NPR was organized and developed by the great war strategist President Clinton and his associated flag rank perfumed princes in the Pentagon. Since Bush was elected, he has given great homage to the military skill of the Clinton Administration by reinforcing the entire Clinton nuclear doctrine with a new NPR exactly the same as the old one.

This is interesting. No one seems to connect that this is Bush's warhead limit. In the world of military services and basic military doctrine, it will be impossible to put the entire nuke force of the US in one mlitary service. It will mean our sub force will be drastically reduced in number of subs or number of available warheads.

For instance, given an expected Air Force nuclear force of 25 B-2's with a payload of 8-12 mk bombs and strike nukes the Air Force will already corner 200-300 nukes. What happens to the other B-1 bombers capable of carrying 12-16 mk bombs and strike nukes? Obviously they won't carry such weapons. And in fact, in March 2000 the Clinton Administration announced they would be taking the B-1s off of nuke strike lists. Remember, Bush has backed that up with new military orders.

Now add the Air Forces 500 Minutemen.

It's obvious they will remain. Which leaves us around 900 nukes to play with for the SLBMs. So either the SLBMs will be deMIRVed, or reduced to 2-3 MIRVs each and/or the sub fleet will be reduced 7 or 8 submarines. Sound foolish? Wait till you hear the actual Administration's concept.

Well, supposedly, the Trident II's actually have the ability to hit military targets. The old Trident I's and Polaris submarines did not. But the new D-5s do have the ability. Nevertheless, for reasons of doctrine and more complex battle tactics, the D-5's primary objective remains civilian counter-force. We shall see what they become in the bright Bush world future in which we can all eat tamales, speak Spanish, and congratulate ourselves on keeping the GOP a minority but viable party.

Apparently, the Russians do care about their people. The Russians have constructed no less than 4 entire underground cities since 1983, each capable of holding 250,000-500,000 people each. The largest one is the Yamotou Mountain complex, which is an underground city with the acreage of Washington DC and believed to be able to hold as many as 1,000,000 people.

Of course, this doesn't include the earlier Russian cities, built during the Cold War of which there are known to be 12, nor the Stalin era cities which while not accurately cities, were underground complexes built for munitions, logistic, supply, etc capabilities. So vast was this older system that the German Intelligence in WWII forecasted the Russian capable production, available military forces, and supplies by a margin of error of 3-1.

In short, the Russians have the single largest civil defense program. In fact, in a personal interview I had with Russian GRU defector Col. Lunev, the Russian system is so elaborate it puts to shame the famous and awe inspiring Swiss Civil Defense System. Although he was to note that the Swiss system was per capita better and more developed and better built.

Ultimately, in analysis, what you don't hear is as important as what you do hear. The Civil Defense System, particularly Yaumotou mountain, was one of David Pyne's favorite research projects. Given his clearence level, and the consequent inability to speak on subjects of classified importance, the fact that he no longer speaks about this in any shape or form would tend to show it's far worse than even we imagine.

While Bush Senior removed the nukes, Clinton ordered the nukes destroyed. And Bush junior has greedily implemented that order. By 2005-2007, the entire former nuclear warhead force of the US Navy's non-SLBM force will be vaporized into dust. With the stroke of a pen, and willing accomplices in the White House, the Russians have succeeded in doing what only the Third World War could do.

This situation is probably the most dire. First some background. Since the early 1970's, senior intelligence officers have concluded that the Chicoms have penetrated every aspect of the U.S. intelligence production. From 1973-1987, the CIA intelligence official who provided the President's Daily Briefing on China, was a PRC spy. It is believed he recruited dozens of spies into the China desks, and in fact, to this day, the entire US policy toward China has been one of unrelenting appeasement.

Second, by 2015, according to my estimates, which I must note, have a proven historically accuracy rate of 97%, the Chinese will have a couple of hundred ICBMs. These missiles will not be older than 10 years, will all by MIRV capable, and will have components at least 5 generations ahead of the American ICBMs the youngest of which was built in 1969. Accordingly, given Bush's unilateral disarmament, within 10 years, the Chinese will be a greater ICBM nuclear power than the US. Of course, this doesn't include their allies, the Russians.

Minuteman will become the only land-based ICBM in the Triad".

Actually, there is a new-fangled Pentagon word out.

It's called the "Heritage" force.

Heh, you say? According to my sources remaining in the Pentagon, there is an increasing use of the operative word: "Heritage". It is being used in nearly every department from the Logi side of the house, to the techi side of the house, to the military services side of the house. It is meant to describe that robust and military capable heavy battle structure and component of the US military which we think of when we the people think of the armed forces. However, to the elite, their idea of the military is as a police force. Consequently, that robust force which is to remain in the transition of the armed forces into a paramilitary constubulary adjunct of the new Internationalist system will be a "Heritage" force.

The Heritage Triad, sometimes called the "Delta" force, was first brought up last fall in a Pentagon briefing which I attended. At the briefing was a complex schematic describing the new "Delta" nuclear force. It was basically a transitional diagram which showed ever devolving nuclear force numbers being morphed and grouped into smaller and more or less ready group structures.

The Delta Force according to the briefing was a transitional force, and mirrored the project time lines for other "Transitional" developments in the military services from going to a tankless army to a smaller more multi-role Air Force. In a sop to the few remaining non-traitors and patriots within the government and their supporters in the general public, The Delta Force was positioned as also capable of "Revamping" up if necessary.

So the new name you look for Mike: Think action figures, cartoons, high-tech gee weeze: GO DELTA FORCE! Or for the non-WASP but WASP sipping tea and polo set in DC, the more sophisticated, and say it with a New York nasal voice attempting to speak in class act Lock-Jaw: HERITAGE FORCE.

Disgusting!

Ultimately, lets get down to basics.

There will be a DELTA FORCE of 25 8-12 warhead carrying B-2 bombers, 500 single warhead Minuteman IIIs, and 8-12 Trident subs carrying the remainder of 900 odd warheads. The Delta Force prefigures a mix of sub and aircraft at various levels of readiness. The SLBMs will be dispersed, closer to their current patrol areas in some areas, and closer to home waters in another. The aim is to give as much of survivable force as possible.

That being said, even in best estimates, with a no launch on warning force structure, a Russian first strike would wipe out our Minuteman III's instantly, destroy or incapacitate 1/3-1/2 of our SLBMs, and vaporize 1/2 of our bomber force. That would leave us with maybe 50 ICBM warheads, 450 SLBM warheads, and 125-150 Bomber warheads. This is the absolute best survivability rate under the best conceivable plan.

But wait, the wild card in all this is the Russian National Missile Defense System. That consists of 100 ABMs centered around Moscow. It consists of another several thousand S-600 and other advanced Surface to Air Missiles. The 100 ABMs are nuclear armed with area wide destructive radius. Their glide-destruction path is centered over the north-western Russian civilian area. Consequently, most of our bomber fleet will be detailed for entering that area rather than the more easily identified and less mobile incoming American Ballistic Missile warheads.

That means the SLBMs and remaining ICBMs will be targeted over the Russians military-industrial complex near and East of the Urals. It is here that the new Russian SAM missiles are primarily located. Those missiles number some 1,500 with a statistical hit ratio of .15 and 4,500 with a statistical hit ratio of .10.

Nearly 75% of the .10 SAMs are located in Western Russia. While nearly 75% of the advanced .15+ SAMs are located near the military-industrial targeted area. That means, given an ability to accurately track the incoming American warheads, the Russian Advanced SAMs will at worse, take out 225 warheads. While the remaining SAMs will at worse, take out 237 warheads.

In other words, only 38 American warheads at BEST will hit their targets.

Even if the all the bombers got through one could add only 125 targets. A statistical improbability level so bad, that in a nuclear strategy complete with varying levels of targeting and acquisitioning demands and battle-field requirements, would be pointless in implementing. In fact, in reply to such an American counter-attack, the Russians would still be left with their second force reserve warheads with which to vaporize the entire American metropolitan population.

In short, until the US develops an effective National Missile Defense System capable of wiping out 75% of an all out Russian attack, as long as the US has 1,700 missiles, we will be totally vulnerable to nuclear black-mail. Indeed, within 10 years, we will be threatened by the Chinese.

Thus, we can expect that an all out covert war of intelligence collection, espionage, counter-intelligence, propoganda, perception management, sabotage, diplomatic warfare and economic warfare will be waged to stop the US from building an effective NMD.

Given all of the above that means starting from Bush's meeting with Putin in Moscow, the great compassionate conservative has opened the gates to a new and utterly unneeded and certainly preventable struggle, all the while being engaged in war against the terrorist states.

Its clear a new global War has begun, with 911 being the opening low grade attack of what could easily heat up to far worse. Overall our worse window of vulnerability will be between 2007-2025, when the US will reduce to 1,700 while building up an effective NMD. A near 18 years in which the country may lose it's liberty.

Thank You President Jorge!"

Anthony LoBaido emailed us his essay on the Bush/Putin travesty:

Bush, Russia and Nuclear War: "Parent or Guardian" Must Sign This Treaty

By Anthony C. LoBaido

There is a term in the Russian language: "Krasnaya Zhariya." It means "Red Dawn." I learned this term from an ex-Russian KGB agent while living abroad in Cyprus. I don't speak Russian very well, and I earned only a "D" in a course called "Geography of the Soviet Union" while a student at Arizona State. But I do know that something is very wrong with America's approach to Russia in 2002 AD.

Back in 1984, Americans watched a movie by the title of "Red Dawn" and it chilled us to the bone. It starred Patrick Swayze, Charlie Sheen and Lea Thompson. Who can forget Lea (these days the tv star of "Caroline in the City") shooting down Russian Special Forces with her AK-47 in front of McDonalds. That was chilling. I can assure you that even today, the mere thought of "Caroline in the City" is enough to give any Russian Special Forces Soldier nightmares.

Ah, the 1980's! Remember the Cold War? Remember when every tiny detail of the SALT talks captured the interest of average Americans? Remember the May Day parade in Moscow when the Russians carted out their nuclear warheads down the avenue while America unveiled giant balloons depicting Under Dog and Snoopy during our holidays? Remember when we were afraid we would see Russian troops racing across Europe eating up all of the croissants?

Remember our dance of joy when America's college kids beat the world's elite - the Soviet Army hockey team -- at Lake Placid for the gold medal in the 1980 Winter Olympics? This was only one year after the same Soviet Army team annihilated America's and Canada's elite NHL All-Star team, which had cancelled the start of the NHL season and held a training camp before the slaughter. Thus there were no excuses available for the North American trading bloc. I mean Western Civilization. I mean Canada and America. I mean NAFTA. Okay it was, in politically correct retrospect, Canadian and American NHL All-Stars, skating like Mexicans, against the Soviet Army team. Glad we cleared that up.

Well in light of recent events vis-à-vis the Rusians, the 1980's seem like the age of Charles Martel. President Bush Jr. just handed over 66 percent of our nuclear weapons to a KGB-trained agent in his recent treaty.

Where is the outcry?

Under former President Reagan, America had so many missiles that I could just die telling you how many. Like 50,000 or so. Now we have what, 1,700? 2,200? This newfangled treaty is vague, talking about dismantling many of the nuclear weapons and leaving them around to be re-mantled whenever one gets a hankerin' to do so. There is a three-month window for either side to pull out of the treaty. That's the warranty - 90 days, like for your VCR.

"Russia is our friend," Bush tells us again and again. Does he actually believe this?

If Russia were indeed our friend, they wouldn't care if we had a missile shield. Do you care if your neighbor locks his car at night or installs a burglar alarm system? The Russians whine about our missile shield for only ONE reason. They are planning to attack us some day. Does Togo care about our missile shield? Does Djibouti care? I bet they are rioting in the streets of Sri Lanka over America's proposed missile shield.

Caveat Emptor. If you saw the Putin-Bush news conference on CNN and studied it in detail -- as LoBaido did -- you would have noted that both Russian leader Putin and Putin's translator spoke better English than Bush. So did Bush's translator. Okay, this is something that isn't hard to do, but it was kind of creepy anyway. In fact, I think they all spoke better English while actually speaking Russian. Bush's Russian was NOT very good. Oh, I forgot he was speaking English - but it sounded very Russian!

You would have also noticed that Bush is in love with the terms "Russia" and "market economy." As if! Bush is beholden to U.S. corporations and has globalist designs. (This is why he wears a sombrero when it comes to dealing with Mexico. You know Mexico, the country to the south where our Muslim "friends" store their cyanide for safekeeping).

Bush seems as though he is actually trying to convince himself that Russia is our friend. At the press conference he kept saying things like, "America has no interest in viewing Russia as an enemy." Well, duh! Russia can reduce our cities to rubble in like 20 minutes. They can turn all of America into the South Bronx. They also have heaps of biological and biochemical weapons. Worse of all Russia still has lots of hairy women with Olympic medals hanging from the mirrors in their bedrooms - where they (hopefully) sleep alone.

Caveat Emptor II: Imagine all of America's kids, dressed in their baggy gang clothes, with their tattoos and body and facial piercings and weird facial hair, walking around in our post-modern nuclear wasteland, vomiting up their teeth, sick from radiation poisoning? Who will be left to watch South Park or listen to Kurt Cobain CD's? Who will be left to salute the United Nations flag?

Since America's national survival has been severely compromised by Bush's recent nuclear treaty with the Russians, it is time to separate fact from fiction.

Russia is right now arming herself and signing treaties with Communist China against America. China has established beach heads in Panama, Sudan, South Africa, Burma, the Bahamas and set up space warfare infrastructure near Swakopmund, Namibia.

Russia is one of the worlds' major high-tech weapons exporters. A few years back, America had to pressure South Korea into buying U.S. weapons over Russian-made weapons. Why? Russian weapons come with advisors who speak foreign languages and lots of easy to read manuals with titles like, "how to blow up your friends" and "Armageddon for dummies."

It was just a few years ago that former Russian President Boris Yeltsin threatened nuclear attack against America vis-vis the Serbian crisis. Some friends huh? How about an orange afro? Want the paint sucked off your house? Rent the films "Spies Like Us," "The Day After" and "Miracle Mile" for details.

Boris Yeltsin also threatened nuclear attack against Norway after that nation launched an innocuous satellite for scientific purposes. We blame it all on Boris' vodka, but we are wrong. And what does this man have against blondes anyway? I'll bet Boris probably hates Jack in the Box tacos and The X Files as well.

Russia is bullying Denmark into not allowing a U.S. missile shield to be set up in Greenland -- a land which Denmark controls. Russia has recently moved tactical nuclear weapons within striking distance of Denmark via a remote province in Western Russia.

(Greenland is ice and Iceland is green, when the Viking raiders came to steal the women, they switched names. Maybe its time for Americans to start teaching their kids geography again instead of how to put a condom on a banana and salute the United Nations flag).

Russia is arming Iran and Iran is ready to kick the hell out of Israel. Iran arms Hezbollah in Lebanon, which likes to lob missiles at Israel. It's all very convenient.

Russia still covets a warm water port to the south. Read the book, "Last Dash to the South" by Vladimir Zhyrinovsky, the right wing nationalist and anti-globalist.

Russia is arming the FARC rebels in Columbia who control an area of that country the size of Switzerland.

Russia's infiltration of the CIA, NSA and FBI is so great (achieved under the Clinton regime) that the Russians have now closed down their listening post in Cuba. They simply don't need it anymore. Think of it as a going out of business sale. Why buy the cow when the milk is free?

(But keep shopping at the mall, because Russia is our friend! Don't forget that we have men like Hanssen and Ames in the intelligence agencies to protect us. Plus Madeline Half-bright and Condi Rice, trained by the Marxists at Stanford University in Palo Alto, California. Maybe they are grooming Chelsea Clinton out there as well?).

Russia supports the communists in power in South Africa, Congo/Zaire, Angola, Namibia, Zimbabwe and elsewhere. The strategic mineral treasure chest of Southern Africa, which fuels the Western military industrial complex, can now be shut off at any time. The Cape of Good Hope off the tip of South Africa is ripe for Russian and Chinese control, thanks to the Marxist ANC regime put in power in South Africa by the U.S. State Department, Bush Sr./Clinton gang, United Nations, China, Russia, radical Islam and European Union.

The former Warsaw Pact nations are now merging into NATO.

Russia is also merging into NATO. So they are merging into NATO and with Communist China. Hmm, that's a neat trick. But it's okay cause Russia is allowing America to build an oil pipeline through Afghanistan. That's a great trade off Mr. Bush!

Russia launders billions in drug money on the Pacific island of Nauru, which has a population of 11,000 and is a full United Nations member, while Taiwan is not allowed inside the U.N. Go figure. Russia also launders drug money in Cyprus and Macedonia. This money fuels the KGB/FSB and rouge Russian military activities, like training the Aum Shin Rikyo cult of Japan.

Russia arms North Korea and sells North Korea satellite photos of U.S. troop positions in South Korea, Japan and elsewhere.

Russians are tough. They chew nails and spit our carpet tacks. We watch professional wrestling and our idea of exercise is driving two exits on the freeway without take a bite out of our calzone.

Russians are far better educated than Americans. They can re-assemble nuclear missiles faster than the time it takes for your child to put his nose ring in, or microwave a Stouffer's French Bread Pizza. (Yummie!)

Russia has a society that is basically monolithically white and has few racial problems.

As such, during a nuclear exchange, combined with their advanced civil defense, they will most likely survive as a nation. And this is a nation with 11 time zones.

Russians will follow any nationalist leader who gives them A. Lots of vodka and B. Five different kinds of sausages. But we in America still have better frozen pizza, spaghetti sauce in a can or jar, football, porno and crack! We also can boast of Madonna, Michael Jackson, MTV and Dennis Rodman).

Russians are angry at American arrogance during the 1990's after the Cold War "ended." Clinton and Co. pushed the Russians into the arms of the Chinese.

Russia actually fights radical Islam. They don't send visa renewal forms to terrorists or leave their borders unguarded.

Russia doesn't use women in forward combat positions. When the Russian army went into a certain Chechen village looking for a handful of terrorists, they killed over 20,000 civilians who got in the way. The terrorists escaped, but that did not deter the "poorly trained" Russian army. They are tough, vicious and brutal. These troops also actually enjoy eating bad food, wearing fake designer clothing and they rarely wear Old Spice deodorant.

Russia's intelligence services have not -- unlike America's, the UK's, Australia's and Canada's -- been ruined by political correctness.

Russians care about their families.

Siberia has tons of natural resources, including oil.

Not long ago, Russia's air force carried out a successful mock attack on America's Pacific Fleet. The Russian jets in fact, passed over our ships TWO times before our Navy he launched aircraft to attempt an intercept. The mad Russians probably could have sunk our ships with ease during this attack if they had wanted. But since they are our "friends" they didn't.

Russia's submarines have been mapping the continental shelf off of America's West Coast. It's a nice hiding place to park a sub loaded with nuclear missiles. Apparently the continental shelf is a cool hang out for our new Russian "friends."

Let's face facts. Most of the Russian people are very nice. But some of their leaders are very angry, anti-American, pro-Chinese and are preparing for war against us.

For now, we have no choice but to let President Bush Jr. go on with his notion that Russia is "America's friend." However, let's just hope that this missile treaty with the Russians isn't valid until Vice President Dick Chaney signs on the line that reads, ""Parent or Guardian signature required."

Anthony C. LoBaido is an international correspondent for WND.com